Updated on January 3, 2020
The Wimbledon Championships are about to get underway as the action begins next week. In the meantime, Rafael Nadal has pulled within two major titles of Roger Federer all-time record, cutting the gap to 20-18. While Nadal will be making a strong push to overtake Federer for the most majors of all time, the favourite for this grand slam is Novak Djokovic. The Serbian won last year's tournament, and has won three of the last five Wimbledons played.
The winner is expected to be one of these three, so who is the best Wimbledon sports bet?
Wimbledon Odds: +150
The four-time Wimbledon champion is also the defending champion this year. Novak Djokovic is the best hardcourt player of this decade and there once was a time when many tennis bettors felt that grass would be his worst surface. Four Wimbledons indicate otherwise.
He’s played very well entering the year as he won the Australian Open (beating Rafael Nadal in the final) and enters Wimbledon having won 14 of his last 16 matches. Of the three elite players, he’s the one to beat. He’s won three of the last five Wimbledons and has made it to at least the semis in seven of his last nine appearances here. Needless to say, Djokovic is the sportsbooks favourite.
Wimbledon Odds: +550
The Nadal outlook at Wimbledon is a lot more positive this year compared to the past several years. Nadal had entered 2018 without a Wimbledon semifinal appearance since 2011. He reached the final that year and lost to Djokovic. After that, he endured a very long Wimbledon drought, failing to get past the fourth round in any of the next six tournaments.
He enters Wimbledon with new hope because he proved that he’s still got it at the French Open. We saw him have an uncharacteristically shaky start to the clay-court season. He had won multiple clay-court tournaments every year since 2005 but struggled early on. He didn’t win his first until Italy and then he took the French right after. The means he enters on a 12-match winning streak, playing his best tennis of the year.
If Nadal and Djokovic play their best, it’s likely Djokovic who will win. However, Nadal has shown that at age 33, he’s still a Top 2 or 3 player in the world, which means he should make a deep run here.
Wimbledon Odds: +330
The Federer trophy case just grew larger, with Federer’s 10th career title in Halle, Germany. Federer was not tremendously sharp for most of the tournament. He barely beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Roberto Bautista Agut in the middle rounds and struggled in the first set of the final against David Goffin before rolling through the second set. It’s fairly clear that the 37-year-old is in the twilight of his career, but he’s not a man you want to underestimate.
Technically speaking, he needs to improve his return game and polish his backhand, and his serve speed wasn’t always where it needed to be. Yet, he is such a proven champion on grass that it will be hard for someone to knock him off before the semifinals. If he can dispose of everyone in straight sets before he faces Nadal or Djokovic, he should have a chance to add to his trophy collection.
Wimbledon 2019 Update
Novak Djokovic defeated Roger Federer in a classic match, which required the first-ever tiebreaker to decide a Wimbledon mens final. The final score was 7-6, 1-6, 7-6, 4-6, 13-12 in Djovovic's favor. It was the 5th Wimbledon title for Novak Djokovic and his 16th Grand Slam Championship in all, pulling him within 4 Grand Slams of Federer himself. Federer will be 38 years of age when Wimbledon begins, while Nadal will be 34 and Djokovic 33.
Wimbledon 2020 Odds
The 2020 Wimbledon could include a special level of intrigue, because both Djokavic and Rafael Nadal are seeking to overtake Roger Federer for the most Grand Slam titles. Federer now has 20 titles, while Nadal has 19 and Djokavic has 16. Federer will be 38 years of age when Wimbledon begins, while Nadal will be 34 and Djokovic 33.
With two major events to go before Wimbledon 2020, both of Federer's younger rivals could have added to their total by the time of the London tournament. Novak Djokovic is a +165 favorite at Bovada to win the Australian Open, while Rafael Nadal is next in line with +350 odds. Roger Federer is tied for third with Daniil Medvedev at +800. The fast surface of the hardcourt at Sydney gives Djokovic a decided advantage.
Rafael Nadal Could Overtake Roger Federer in Grand Slam Titles in 2020
Rafael Nadal has an even more decided advantage at Roland Garros. Nadal is even money to win his 13th French Open title - that's even money against the entire field. Novak Djokovic is +300 to win the French Open, while Dominic Thiem (who's made the last two finals) is +400 to win in Paris. Roger Federer is way down at +2500.
That means Nadal and Djokovic are odds-on favorites to have 20 and 17 Grand Slam titles, respectively, when Wimbledon 2020 begins. Given Nadal's historic dominance at Roland Garros, he could very well have a chance to overtake Roger Federer in the Wimbledon 2020 tournament. Or he might have won the Australian and French, which would mean Federer would need to win on his best surface to catch Rafa. However it works, there should be massive intrigue at the All-England Club this summer.
Who's the Favorite to Win Wimbledon in 2020?
Currently, Novak Djokovic is +150 to win the 2020 Wimbledon Men's Singles Championship. Roger Federer is +400, while Rafael Nadal is +500. The three tennis legends remain the three main favorites, despite each being in his mid-to-late thirties. Stefanos Tsitsipas (+1400), Alexander Zverev (+2500), Felix Auger Aliassime (+2500), Milos Raonic (+2500), Dominic Thief (+3300), and Kei Nishikori (+3300) also have listed odds.
The 2020 ATP season has not begun yet, so the Wimbledon odds could change significantly in the 5+ months before the tournament begins. Injuries, disappointing results, and breakout seasons could happen in the intervening time. We'll update the 2020 Wimbledon odds as we get closer to the summer's biggest tennis tournament.